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The Chronicles of Garage

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

Home prices at the national level have stayed stubbornly high even as financing costs doubled in under two years. The reason is supply. A seller who bought in 2021 at a three percent rate has nowhere affordable to go if they list today, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. A market can stay unaffordable for longer than most buyers expect to wait. What it means, practically, is that the buyer who can close confidently has more leverage than the headline numbers suggest.

Before you look at a single listing, get your pre-approval locked down. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. In this market, a seller who receives an offer without that documentation will not take it seriously.

The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. If the home appraises below the contract price, the lender will only finance against the appraised value. Ask your agent how common appraisal gaps have been in your target price range and neighborhood.

Budget between two and five percent depending on your loan type and the state you are buying in. First-time buyers routinely underestimate this number. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate with a realistic purchase price so the numbers reflect what you are actually going to face.

For buyers with a stable income, a down payment of at least ten percent, and a concrete plan to stay in the home for at least five years, this market is workable, even if it is not cheap or easy. The homes that meet real criteria at a realistic price are still moving. They are going to the buyers who treated the process like the major financial decision it is.

Buyers who take the time to do their homework tend to find that the market is more navigable than the headlines suggest. Spending twenty minutes with current homes for sale and market analytics is a better use of your time than waiting for conditions that may never arrive.